Tag: Risk Assets

  • Weekly Market Outlook: Key Events, Positioning, and Strategy

    Last Week in Review

    The previous week delivered a mixed performance across markets, but risky assets ended on a positive note, with the S&P 500 closing up 1%. Key highlights included:

    • CPI Data: Slightly underwhelming.
    • PPI Data: Came in better than expected.
    • Trump–Putin Meeting: Offered little in terms of actionable insights.

    For a deeper dive, check out last week’s posts:

    Economic Highlights for This Week

    This week, the U.S. economic calendar is relatively light, but there are still important events to watch:

    • United States: PMI data, FOMC statement, speeches from Federal Reserve members, and the Jackson Hole Symposium.
    • Canada & Europe: Inflation data for Canada, the UK, and the Eurozone.

    Overall, I expect market consolidation with a slight upside bias. The PMI will also provide clues about the inflationary impact of Trump’s recently implemented tariffs. Additionally, I’ll be monitoring:

    • Comments from Trump and Russia following their recent meeting.
    • Statements from Federal Reserve officials.

    How I’m Positioning for the Week

    I’m focusing on three assets: Gold, Palladium, and ETH.

    Gold

    I’ll remain on the sidelines for now. Gold is currently range-bound. While there are opportunities for small gains, I generally avoid trading within ranges unless I see clearer signals during the week.

    Palladium

    Technically, Palladium is in a buying zone. I’m already in a long position (entered a bit early). I expect Palladium to benefit from uncertainty, especially since the Trump–Putin meeting didn’t provide much clarity. Russia, being a major producer of Palladium, adds to the bullish case. That said, I’m monitoring this trade cautiously.

    ETH (Ethereum)

    As a risk asset, I’m only looking for buying opportunities. There seems to be some profit-taking at the moment, but with the Fed rolling back Biden-era policies, I expect a positive impact and potential upside. However, technically, it’s not ready yet.

    Final Thoughts

    At the end of the day, we’re not market makers—we follow the trend. I’ll remain flexible and adjust as new information emerges. Let’s stay calm, avoid rushing, and aim for a profitable week.


    Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The content shared here reflects my personal opinions and observations on current market events. Please consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

  • What a Week! PPI Surprises, Power Moves, and Red Markets !!!

    The second half of the week came in hot, with two major events on our radar: the Producer Price Index (PPI) release and the Trump-Putin meeting.

    PPI: A Surprise Upside

    We got better-than-expected PPI data, which begs the question—are we finally seeing the inflationary effects of Trump’s tariffs? It’s a valid consideration, and one that could weigh heavily on policymakers as they decide whether to cut rates in September. Personally, I wouldn’t want to be in their shoes right now—lol.

    Trump Meets Putin: All Optics, No Substance

    The Trump-Putin meeting wasn’t really giving, to be honest. The most dramatic moment? Trump flexing with a stealth bomber flying over Putin’s head. That was a serious power move. But beyond the theatrics, there wasn’t much substance. We heard there was “progress,” but no concrete outcomes. Must be nice to be rich enough to fly across the globe for a meeting and leave with nothing definitive.

    Weekly Market Wrap

    Risk-on assets ended the week in the red. Equities, crypto, the DXY, and precious metals all closed lower. I wasn’t spared either—woke up to my palladium trade down 1.82%. If anyone’s hiring, I’m available!

    That’s all for this week. Enjoy your weekend, and let’s regroup on Monday for our weekly outlook.

    Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The content shared here reflects my personal opinions and observations on current market events. Please consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions

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