IOY Capital

Tag: Market analysis

  • September Stock Pick: Top 3 Stock Picks for September 2025: SMCI, Asana & Meta Analysis

    September Stock Pick: Top 3 Stock Picks for September 2025: SMCI, Asana & Meta Analysis

    Welcome to the September edition of our monthly stock picks! If you’re looking for the best stocks to buy in September, you’re in the right place. This month, we’re building on August’s lessons to maintain, and hopefully improve profitability.

    We’ve identified three stocks with strong upside potential for September:

    • Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI)
    • Asana (ASAN)
    • Meta (META)

    These picks combine AI-driven growth, technical setups, and fundamental strength. Plus two of them qualify as halal stock picks for ethical investors.

    1. Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI)Halal

    Why SMCI?
    Super Micro is a leading AI hardware company, providing storage and server solutions for AI training and inference using GPU-based architectures.

    Recent Performance:
    SMCI dropped from $58 to around $39 last month due to a sector-wide AI pullback and internal challenges. In its annual report, the company admitted:

    “We have identified material weaknesses in our internal control over financial reporting, which could, if not remediated, adversely affect our ability to report our financial condition and results of operations in a timely and accurate manner.”

    This disclosure contributed to a 5.5% decline.

    Why It Still Has Potential:
    Despite these issues, analysts maintain a buy or hold rating on SMCI.

    Technical Analysis:
    The stock is sitting at a strong support zone ($39–$40), which aligns with the 200-day moving average. I’m looking to buy at this level and hold. If the support fails, I’ll adjust my strategy.

    2. Asana (ASAN) Halal

    Asana is a work management platform that integrates human and AI collaboration. While the stock has been in a downtrend for most of 2025, it has a strong track record of beating earnings expectations—including last quarter by 0.9%.

    Catalyst:
    Asana reports earnings this Wednesday, and we’re looking to capitalize on potential optimism.

    Technical Setup:
    The stock is near its lowest support level, creating a possible buying opportunity if the support holds.

    3. Meta (META) Doubtful

    Meta, Mark Zuckerberg’s flagship company, dominates social media, virtual reality, and AI innovation.

    Fundamentals:
    Meta beat Q2 earnings estimates and remains a strong player in the AI race.

    Technical Analysis:
    The stock recently pulled back to a previous support level and looks ready to resume its uptrend.

    Final Thoughts

    September offers exciting stock market opportunities, but as always, risk management is key. I’ll be monitoring these setups closely and adjusting as needed.

    Disclaimer

    This is not financial advice. The content shared here reflects my personal opinions and observations on market events. Trade Ideas shared are for educational purposes only. IOY Capital is not responsible for any investment decisions you choose to make.

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  • Weekly Market Recap: Powell’s Dovish Stance, PMI Data & Market Reactions

    Weekly Market Recap: Powell’s Dovish Stance, PMI Data & Market Reactions

    Phew! Every week in the financial markets feels like a battle for your mental health. Honestly, it makes sense why the TV series Billions had an in-house therapist (if you haven’t watched it yet, I highly recommend it!).

    This week’s market recap and analysis for traders covers major U.S. economic events, including Powell’s dovish stance at the Jackson Hole Symposium, stronger-than-expected PMI data, and rising unemployment claims—all of which shaped market sentiment and price action.

    So what has happened so for this week ?

    Most of the action this week came from the U.S. Here are the highlights:

    • Flash PMI Data and Its Effect on Financial Markets
      We saw stronger-than-expected PMI numbers: manufacturing at 53.3, services at 55.4%. This indicates expansion in both sectors. However, the impact of Trump’s tariffs is evident, as costs are being passed on to consumers (what a surprise!).
    • Unemployment Claims and Rate Cut Expectations
      Claims came in higher than expected at 235K (previous: 226K). This suggests more people are on benefits, aligning with recent jobs data. Interestingly, this is positive for potential rate cuts.
    • Jackson Hole Symposium Highlights for Investors
      The highlight of the week! Powell essentially confirmed the Fed’s dovish stance, increasing the odds of a rate cut in the September FOMC meeting.

    Read the weekly outlook post where I shared what I was looking out for this week

    Market reaction: How Powell’s Dovish Stance Impacted Markets

    Throughout the week, the market sold to set up for buys todays. equites fell to previously broken highs, Gold and Palladium fell to support, Crypto ETH, BTC and XRP all fell to support.

    Interestingly, both risk assets and safe-haven assets declined together—unusual, but that’s the market for you.

    Today, after Powell’s speech, Dollar and Bond Yields weakened, US Indexes strengthened Traders now put about a 90% probability on a Fed rate cut in September, vs 75% before Powell’s remarks.

    Position recap

    Gold: I did not get an entry on gold this week. but we did see some upside.

    Gold and Palladium Price Analysis

    Palladium: Closed an early position at a 2% loss, re-entered, and currently up about 2%.

    Gold and Palladium Price Analysis

    Ethereum: Took a 2.5% loss early in the week, but scored a 15% win today. Thank you, Powell!

    Ethereum Price Action and Crypto Market Trends

    Looking Ahead

    I’m still keeping my current position over the weekend but I’ll be talking more on what I’m looking out for next week in the weekly outlook post.

    Till then, as usual, it’s Friday, take a break from your screen, connect with family and enjoy the weekend.

    Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The content shared here reflects my personal opinions and observations on current market events. Please consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

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  • What a Week! PPI Surprises, Power Moves, and Red Markets !!!

    The second half of the week came in hot, with two major events on our radar: the Producer Price Index (PPI) release and the Trump-Putin meeting.

    PPI: A Surprise Upside

    We got better-than-expected PPI data, which begs the question—are we finally seeing the inflationary effects of Trump’s tariffs? It’s a valid consideration, and one that could weigh heavily on policymakers as they decide whether to cut rates in September. Personally, I wouldn’t want to be in their shoes right now—lol.

    Trump Meets Putin: All Optics, No Substance

    The Trump-Putin meeting wasn’t really giving, to be honest. The most dramatic moment? Trump flexing with a stealth bomber flying over Putin’s head. That was a serious power move. But beyond the theatrics, there wasn’t much substance. We heard there was “progress,” but no concrete outcomes. Must be nice to be rich enough to fly across the globe for a meeting and leave with nothing definitive.

    Weekly Market Wrap

    Risk-on assets ended the week in the red. Equities, crypto, the DXY, and precious metals all closed lower. I wasn’t spared either—woke up to my palladium trade down 1.82%. If anyone’s hiring, I’m available!

    That’s all for this week. Enjoy your weekend, and let’s regroup on Monday for our weekly outlook.

    Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The content shared here reflects my personal opinions and observations on current market events. Please consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions

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