IOY Capital

Tag: Halal investing

  • September Stock Pick: Top 3 Stock Picks for September 2025: SMCI, Asana & Meta Analysis

    September Stock Pick: Top 3 Stock Picks for September 2025: SMCI, Asana & Meta Analysis

    Welcome to the September edition of our monthly stock picks! If you’re looking for the best stocks to buy in September, you’re in the right place. This month, we’re building on August’s lessons to maintain, and hopefully improve profitability.

    We’ve identified three stocks with strong upside potential for September:

    • Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI)
    • Asana (ASAN)
    • Meta (META)

    These picks combine AI-driven growth, technical setups, and fundamental strength. Plus two of them qualify as halal stock picks for ethical investors.

    1. Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI)Halal

    Why SMCI?
    Super Micro is a leading AI hardware company, providing storage and server solutions for AI training and inference using GPU-based architectures.

    Recent Performance:
    SMCI dropped from $58 to around $39 last month due to a sector-wide AI pullback and internal challenges. In its annual report, the company admitted:

    “We have identified material weaknesses in our internal control over financial reporting, which could, if not remediated, adversely affect our ability to report our financial condition and results of operations in a timely and accurate manner.”

    This disclosure contributed to a 5.5% decline.

    Why It Still Has Potential:
    Despite these issues, analysts maintain a buy or hold rating on SMCI.

    Technical Analysis:
    The stock is sitting at a strong support zone ($39–$40), which aligns with the 200-day moving average. I’m looking to buy at this level and hold. If the support fails, I’ll adjust my strategy.

    2. Asana (ASAN) Halal

    Asana is a work management platform that integrates human and AI collaboration. While the stock has been in a downtrend for most of 2025, it has a strong track record of beating earnings expectations—including last quarter by 0.9%.

    Catalyst:
    Asana reports earnings this Wednesday, and we’re looking to capitalize on potential optimism.

    Technical Setup:
    The stock is near its lowest support level, creating a possible buying opportunity if the support holds.

    3. Meta (META) Doubtful

    Meta, Mark Zuckerberg’s flagship company, dominates social media, virtual reality, and AI innovation.

    Fundamentals:
    Meta beat Q2 earnings estimates and remains a strong player in the AI race.

    Technical Analysis:
    The stock recently pulled back to a previous support level and looks ready to resume its uptrend.

    Final Thoughts

    September offers exciting stock market opportunities, but as always, risk management is key. I’ll be monitoring these setups closely and adjusting as needed.

    Disclaimer

    This is not financial advice. The content shared here reflects my personal opinions and observations on market events. Trade Ideas shared are for educational purposes only. IOY Capital is not responsible for any investment decisions you choose to make.

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  • August Stock Picks Recap: SCCO & AMBQ Deliver Solid Gains

    August Stock Picks Recap: SCCO & AMBQ Deliver Solid Gains

    As August wraps up, it’s time to review our stock picks for the month and see how they performed.

    Earlier this month, we highlighted four stocks with strong potential:

    • Micron Technology (MU)
    • Tesla Inc. (TSLA)
    • Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO)
    • Ambiq (AMBQ)

    However, we only managed to take positions in SCCO and AMBQ. Here’s how they did:

    Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO)

    We entered a position at $91.27 and held it throughout the month. At one point, the stock was up 9%, but we closed August with a solid 5.5% gain.

    Ambiq (AMBQ)

    Our entry price for Ambiq was $37.71, and we also held this position for the entire month. By the end of August, we secured a 4.5% profit.

    Final Thoughts

    Overall, it was a profitable month, and we’re still holding these positions until we see a reason to exit. Stay tuned for our September stock picks, where we’ll share the next set of opportunities we’re watching closely.

    Disclaimer

    This is not financial advice. The content shared here reflects my personal opinions and observations on market events. Trade Ideas shared are for educational purposes only. IOY Capital is not responsible for any investment decisions you choose to make.

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  • Midweek Market Recap: Trump vs. The Fed, Nvidia’s Surprise, and What’s Next

    It’s midweek, markets have closed for the day, and so far, I can confidently say: Trump really has it in for the Fed.

    Quick Recap

    The week started strong with housing data coming in at 652K, beating expectations of 635K, though slightly below the previous 656K. A positive start as markets eagerly awaited Nvidia’s earnings.

    But the real story? Trump vs. The Fed. After taking aim at Fed Chair Powell with little traction, Trump has now targeted Fed Governor Lisa Cook over alleged mortgage fraud prior to her appointment. This is a big deal, investors rely on the Fed’s independence, and Trump’s decision to remove her pending investigation raises serious concerns.

    We’ve also seen headlines about:

    • Trump plans a White House meeting on Gaza ahead of the UN summit in September.
    • Advocating for oil prices to hover around $60 per barrel.
    • EU considering new sanctions on Russia.
    • Mexico slapping tariffs on Chinese goods under the guise of boosting local production—a classic Trump-style move.

    And then came Nvidia’s earnings:
    Revenue hit $46.7 billion, beating estimates of $46.2 billion. Yet, the stock dropped post-report. Why? Investors expected more. Plus, we learned the U.S. government will take 15% of all Nvidia H20 sales to China—a stark reminder of the cost of doing business in the U.S.

    Market Reaction

    Since the start of the week, markets have been optimistic, as we discussed in our Market Outlook post. Equities have been pushing higher in anticipation of Nvidia’s earnings (can’t wait to see how the market opens tomorrow) and my positions are still in play.

    • ETH is up about 9% after reaching a whooping 19% on Sunday. Take profit kids
    • Closed out PALL (Palladium) at a 1.5% loss after an early-week pullback.
    • Entered a position in XRP after a dip, riding the market optimism and we are currently up about 3%

    What’s Next?

    Key events to watch:
    Thursday:

    • Fed Governor Christopher Waller’s speech
    • Unemployment data
    • GDP data

    Friday:

    • PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) data

    I’ll be monitoring these closely while managing positions.

    Final Thoughts

    We’re sitting at all-time highs, and chatter about a looming recession or market crash is getting louder. Where there’s smoke, there’s usually fire—so stay cautious and trade smart.

    Disclaimer

    This is not financial advice. The content shared here reflects my personal opinions and observations on current market events. Trades shared are for educational purposes only. IOY Capital is not responsible for any investment decisions you choose to make.

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  • Weekly Market Outlook – August 25, 2025

    Last week wrapped up on a strong note, with markets hitting new highs following Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium on Friday. This bullish momentum worked in favour of our positions and set a positive tone heading into the new week.

    What to Watch This Week

    Although the economic calendar looks relatively light, there are a few key events that could influence market direction:

    • Monday: Housing data release
    • Thursday:
      • Speech by Fed Governor Christopher Waller
      • Unemployment data
      • GDP data
    • Friday: PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) data

    The PCE and unemployment figures will be crucial in shaping expectations around a potential rate cut in September. I’m particularly interested in Governor Waller’s speech, as she is reportedly one of Donald Trump’s top picks to replace Jerome Powell as Fed Chair.

    My Personal Outlook

    This week, I’m leaning bullish—but with caution.

    I saw some upside last week with PALL and ETHE, and I’m still holding those positions (though I probably should have closed them on Friday). I’ll be monitoring the market closely and will share any new opportunities in my midweek update. currently looking to get some opportunities in Xrp to follow the trend.

    Market Sentiment & Macro Risks

    One important observation: the market is currently more stretched than during the Dotcom bubble. Several analysts are forecasting a recession within the next 12 months.

    This isn’t a reason to panic or stop trading—it’s a reminder to stay sharp, listen to market signals, and remain adaptable. Keep your ears to the ground and stay informed.

    Stay Tuned

    I’ll be back with more insights in the midweek post, including trade updates and fresh opportunities.

    🔒 Disclaimer

    This is not financial advice. The content shared here reflects my personal opinions and observations on current market events. Trades shared are for educational purposes only. IOY Capital is not responsible for any investment decisions you choose to make.

  • Weekly Market Recap: Powell’s Dovish Stance, PMI Data & Market Reactions

    Weekly Market Recap: Powell’s Dovish Stance, PMI Data & Market Reactions

    Phew! Every week in the financial markets feels like a battle for your mental health. Honestly, it makes sense why the TV series Billions had an in-house therapist (if you haven’t watched it yet, I highly recommend it!).

    This week’s market recap and analysis for traders covers major U.S. economic events, including Powell’s dovish stance at the Jackson Hole Symposium, stronger-than-expected PMI data, and rising unemployment claims—all of which shaped market sentiment and price action.

    So what has happened so for this week ?

    Most of the action this week came from the U.S. Here are the highlights:

    • Flash PMI Data and Its Effect on Financial Markets
      We saw stronger-than-expected PMI numbers: manufacturing at 53.3, services at 55.4%. This indicates expansion in both sectors. However, the impact of Trump’s tariffs is evident, as costs are being passed on to consumers (what a surprise!).
    • Unemployment Claims and Rate Cut Expectations
      Claims came in higher than expected at 235K (previous: 226K). This suggests more people are on benefits, aligning with recent jobs data. Interestingly, this is positive for potential rate cuts.
    • Jackson Hole Symposium Highlights for Investors
      The highlight of the week! Powell essentially confirmed the Fed’s dovish stance, increasing the odds of a rate cut in the September FOMC meeting.

    Read the weekly outlook post where I shared what I was looking out for this week

    Market reaction: How Powell’s Dovish Stance Impacted Markets

    Throughout the week, the market sold to set up for buys todays. equites fell to previously broken highs, Gold and Palladium fell to support, Crypto ETH, BTC and XRP all fell to support.

    Interestingly, both risk assets and safe-haven assets declined together—unusual, but that’s the market for you.

    Today, after Powell’s speech, Dollar and Bond Yields weakened, US Indexes strengthened Traders now put about a 90% probability on a Fed rate cut in September, vs 75% before Powell’s remarks.

    Position recap

    Gold: I did not get an entry on gold this week. but we did see some upside.

    Gold and Palladium Price Analysis

    Palladium: Closed an early position at a 2% loss, re-entered, and currently up about 2%.

    Gold and Palladium Price Analysis

    Ethereum: Took a 2.5% loss early in the week, but scored a 15% win today. Thank you, Powell!

    Ethereum Price Action and Crypto Market Trends

    Looking Ahead

    I’m still keeping my current position over the weekend but I’ll be talking more on what I’m looking out for next week in the weekly outlook post.

    Till then, as usual, it’s Friday, take a break from your screen, connect with family and enjoy the weekend.

    Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The content shared here reflects my personal opinions and observations on current market events. Please consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

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  • What a Week! PPI Surprises, Power Moves, and Red Markets !!!

    The second half of the week came in hot, with two major events on our radar: the Producer Price Index (PPI) release and the Trump-Putin meeting.

    PPI: A Surprise Upside

    We got better-than-expected PPI data, which begs the question—are we finally seeing the inflationary effects of Trump’s tariffs? It’s a valid consideration, and one that could weigh heavily on policymakers as they decide whether to cut rates in September. Personally, I wouldn’t want to be in their shoes right now—lol.

    Trump Meets Putin: All Optics, No Substance

    The Trump-Putin meeting wasn’t really giving, to be honest. The most dramatic moment? Trump flexing with a stealth bomber flying over Putin’s head. That was a serious power move. But beyond the theatrics, there wasn’t much substance. We heard there was “progress,” but no concrete outcomes. Must be nice to be rich enough to fly across the globe for a meeting and leave with nothing definitive.

    Weekly Market Wrap

    Risk-on assets ended the week in the red. Equities, crypto, the DXY, and precious metals all closed lower. I wasn’t spared either—woke up to my palladium trade down 1.82%. If anyone’s hiring, I’m available!

    That’s all for this week. Enjoy your weekend, and let’s regroup on Monday for our weekly outlook.

    Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The content shared here reflects my personal opinions and observations on current market events. Please consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions

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  • 📈 Trade Update: Tariffs, Safe Havens, and What Comes Next

    Following up on my earlier post — Markets, Tariffs, and a Bit of Breathing Room — I’m happy to report that we’ve hit our target on XSD, banking a solid 3% win on the trade.

    So, what’s next?

    📰 Market Recap: Tariffs, Safe Havens, and Nvidia’s Move

    Yesterday, markets reacted to Trump’s tariff announcements targeting several smaller economies. While these aren’t major players, the headlines were enough to spark a shift into safe havens like gold (XAU) and away from risk assetsincluding XSD, XLE, and SPUS.

    Interestingly, the market appears to be shrugging off the news today. One headline-grabber: Nvidia’s market cap has surged to $4 trillion — showing continued bullish sentiment in tech despite macro uncertainty.

    🏦 Fed Watch: Rate Cut Uncertainty

    The Fed statement today revealed a clear split on when rate cuts will occur. The key issue? Inflation risks from new tariffs.

    Despite June’s reported drop in inflation, the Fed is hesitant to move on cuts in July — choosing instead to watch how things develop later in the year.

    This comes even as Trump is ramping up pressure for cuts, adding another layer of political tension to the Fed’s decision-making.

    🎯 What We’re Watching Now

    The main focus going forward is twofold:

    • Tariff-related developments
    • Signals on potential rate cuts

    In this environment, I expect optimism to dominate the market — not because conditions are great, but because there’s simply no other big bearish catalyst in play right now.

    📌 Trade Setup: Gold and XLE

    🟡 Gold (XAU)

    I’m eyeing a potential buy zone in the $3,200–$3,250 handle, but only if there’s a strong fundamental bias — like further escalation in tariffs or clearer signals of rate cuts.

    🔋 XLE

    While we wait for gold to hit our levels, there may be opportunities to capitalize on market optimism via XLE. I’m watching for good entry points there.

    Stay tuned — I’ll post more detailed setups as these plays evolve.

    Disclaimer:
    This is not financial advice. the content shared here reflects my personal opinions and observations on current market events. Please consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

  • Markets, Tariffs, and a Bit of Breathing Room. Gold sells and XSD buys

    I think most people would agree that ever since Trump became president, the world has been on a roller coaster—and it doesn’t look like the ride is ending anytime soon. But for now, we navigate the markets with a mix of swing trades and precision.

    Yesterday, Trump announced an extension of the tariff deadline to August. That move gave the markets a bit of breathing room and sparked some optimism. On that news, I looked for buying opportunities in XSD, and we’re currently up about 3%, which is a solid move.

    Things are quiet for now, so I’m holding my position. Looking ahead, we’ve got the FOMC meeting minutes coming out tomorrow. I’m not expecting any major surprises there—most signs point to the next rate cut happening in September. However, keep an eye on unemployment claims—that’s the one to watch.

    Disclaimer:
    This is not financial advice. the content shared here reflects my personal opinions and observations on current market events. Please consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.