IOY Capital

Tag: Economic Calendar

  • Weekly Market Outlook – August 25, 2025

    Last week wrapped up on a strong note, with markets hitting new highs following Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium on Friday. This bullish momentum worked in favour of our positions and set a positive tone heading into the new week.

    What to Watch This Week

    Although the economic calendar looks relatively light, there are a few key events that could influence market direction:

    • Monday: Housing data release
    • Thursday:
      • Speech by Fed Governor Christopher Waller
      • Unemployment data
      • GDP data
    • Friday: PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) data

    The PCE and unemployment figures will be crucial in shaping expectations around a potential rate cut in September. I’m particularly interested in Governor Waller’s speech, as she is reportedly one of Donald Trump’s top picks to replace Jerome Powell as Fed Chair.

    My Personal Outlook

    This week, I’m leaning bullish—but with caution.

    I saw some upside last week with PALL and ETHE, and I’m still holding those positions (though I probably should have closed them on Friday). I’ll be monitoring the market closely and will share any new opportunities in my midweek update. currently looking to get some opportunities in Xrp to follow the trend.

    Market Sentiment & Macro Risks

    One important observation: the market is currently more stretched than during the Dotcom bubble. Several analysts are forecasting a recession within the next 12 months.

    This isn’t a reason to panic or stop trading—it’s a reminder to stay sharp, listen to market signals, and remain adaptable. Keep your ears to the ground and stay informed.

    Stay Tuned

    I’ll be back with more insights in the midweek post, including trade updates and fresh opportunities.

    🔒 Disclaimer

    This is not financial advice. The content shared here reflects my personal opinions and observations on current market events. Trades shared are for educational purposes only. IOY Capital is not responsible for any investment decisions you choose to make.

  • Weekly Market Outlook: Key Events, Positioning, and Strategy

    Last Week in Review

    The previous week delivered a mixed performance across markets, but risky assets ended on a positive note, with the S&P 500 closing up 1%. Key highlights included:

    • CPI Data: Slightly underwhelming.
    • PPI Data: Came in better than expected.
    • Trump–Putin Meeting: Offered little in terms of actionable insights.

    For a deeper dive, check out last week’s posts:

    Economic Highlights for This Week

    This week, the U.S. economic calendar is relatively light, but there are still important events to watch:

    • United States: PMI data, FOMC statement, speeches from Federal Reserve members, and the Jackson Hole Symposium.
    • Canada & Europe: Inflation data for Canada, the UK, and the Eurozone.

    Overall, I expect market consolidation with a slight upside bias. The PMI will also provide clues about the inflationary impact of Trump’s recently implemented tariffs. Additionally, I’ll be monitoring:

    • Comments from Trump and Russia following their recent meeting.
    • Statements from Federal Reserve officials.

    How I’m Positioning for the Week

    I’m focusing on three assets: Gold, Palladium, and ETH.

    Gold

    I’ll remain on the sidelines for now. Gold is currently range-bound. While there are opportunities for small gains, I generally avoid trading within ranges unless I see clearer signals during the week.

    Palladium

    Technically, Palladium is in a buying zone. I’m already in a long position (entered a bit early). I expect Palladium to benefit from uncertainty, especially since the Trump–Putin meeting didn’t provide much clarity. Russia, being a major producer of Palladium, adds to the bullish case. That said, I’m monitoring this trade cautiously.

    ETH (Ethereum)

    As a risk asset, I’m only looking for buying opportunities. There seems to be some profit-taking at the moment, but with the Fed rolling back Biden-era policies, I expect a positive impact and potential upside. However, technically, it’s not ready yet.

    Final Thoughts

    At the end of the day, we’re not market makers—we follow the trend. I’ll remain flexible and adjust as new information emerges. Let’s stay calm, avoid rushing, and aim for a profitable week.

    Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The content shared here reflects my personal opinions and observations on current market events. Please consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.