IOY Capital

Author: Ismail

  • September Stock Pick: Top 3 Stock Picks for September 2025: SMCI, Asana & Meta Analysis

    September Stock Pick: Top 3 Stock Picks for September 2025: SMCI, Asana & Meta Analysis

    Welcome to the September edition of our monthly stock picks! If you’re looking for the best stocks to buy in September, you’re in the right place. This month, we’re building on August’s lessons to maintain, and hopefully improve profitability.

    We’ve identified three stocks with strong upside potential for September:

    • Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI)
    • Asana (ASAN)
    • Meta (META)

    These picks combine AI-driven growth, technical setups, and fundamental strength. Plus two of them qualify as halal stock picks for ethical investors.

    1. Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI)Halal

    Why SMCI?
    Super Micro is a leading AI hardware company, providing storage and server solutions for AI training and inference using GPU-based architectures.

    Recent Performance:
    SMCI dropped from $58 to around $39 last month due to a sector-wide AI pullback and internal challenges. In its annual report, the company admitted:

    “We have identified material weaknesses in our internal control over financial reporting, which could, if not remediated, adversely affect our ability to report our financial condition and results of operations in a timely and accurate manner.”

    This disclosure contributed to a 5.5% decline.

    Why It Still Has Potential:
    Despite these issues, analysts maintain a buy or hold rating on SMCI.

    Technical Analysis:
    The stock is sitting at a strong support zone ($39–$40), which aligns with the 200-day moving average. I’m looking to buy at this level and hold. If the support fails, I’ll adjust my strategy.

    2. Asana (ASAN) Halal

    Asana is a work management platform that integrates human and AI collaboration. While the stock has been in a downtrend for most of 2025, it has a strong track record of beating earnings expectations—including last quarter by 0.9%.

    Catalyst:
    Asana reports earnings this Wednesday, and we’re looking to capitalize on potential optimism.

    Technical Setup:
    The stock is near its lowest support level, creating a possible buying opportunity if the support holds.

    3. Meta (META) Doubtful

    Meta, Mark Zuckerberg’s flagship company, dominates social media, virtual reality, and AI innovation.

    Fundamentals:
    Meta beat Q2 earnings estimates and remains a strong player in the AI race.

    Technical Analysis:
    The stock recently pulled back to a previous support level and looks ready to resume its uptrend.

    Final Thoughts

    September offers exciting stock market opportunities, but as always, risk management is key. I’ll be monitoring these setups closely and adjusting as needed.

    Disclaimer

    This is not financial advice. The content shared here reflects my personal opinions and observations on market events. Trade Ideas shared are for educational purposes only. IOY Capital is not responsible for any investment decisions you choose to make.

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  • August Stock Picks Recap: SCCO & AMBQ Deliver Solid Gains

    August Stock Picks Recap: SCCO & AMBQ Deliver Solid Gains

    As August wraps up, it’s time to review our stock picks for the month and see how they performed.

    Earlier this month, we highlighted four stocks with strong potential:

    • Micron Technology (MU)
    • Tesla Inc. (TSLA)
    • Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO)
    • Ambiq (AMBQ)

    However, we only managed to take positions in SCCO and AMBQ. Here’s how they did:

    Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO)

    We entered a position at $91.27 and held it throughout the month. At one point, the stock was up 9%, but we closed August with a solid 5.5% gain.

    Ambiq (AMBQ)

    Our entry price for Ambiq was $37.71, and we also held this position for the entire month. By the end of August, we secured a 4.5% profit.

    Final Thoughts

    Overall, it was a profitable month, and we’re still holding these positions until we see a reason to exit. Stay tuned for our September stock picks, where we’ll share the next set of opportunities we’re watching closely.

    Disclaimer

    This is not financial advice. The content shared here reflects my personal opinions and observations on market events. Trade Ideas shared are for educational purposes only. IOY Capital is not responsible for any investment decisions you choose to make.

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  • September Market Outlook: Key Events, Trends, and What to Watch

    Welcome to a new trading week and the start of September! Historically, September has been one of the weakest months for stocks and equities, so we might be starting with a slight disadvantage.

    Last Week’s Market Recap

    Last week ended on a negative note for equities. While we saw some upside earlier in the week, markets closed in the red. Meanwhile, safe-haven assets gained momentum and returned to all-time highs.

    Key Events to Watch This Week

    This week kicks off with the Labor Day holiday, but the main highlight will be Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Friday, when the U.S. payroll report is released. All eyes will be on this data, and I expect the market to position itself ahead of Friday.

    Other important economic events include:

    • Tuesday: ISM Manufacturing PMI
    • Wednesday: JOLTS Job Openings
    • Thursday: Unemployment Claims and ISM Services PMI

    Crypto and Market Outlook

    On the crypto side, my XRP position is in drawdown, while ETH remains about 5% in profit. For equities, I expect some consolidation to start the month, with safe-haven assets likely continuing their upside. and we might get to tag along on Palladium while I monitor my risky asset position.

    Also, remember this is an FOMC meeting month, so markets may consolidate until then. As always, we don’t predict the market—we react. Patience is key. Let’s see what September brings.

    Disclaimer

    This is not financial advice. The content shared here reflects my personal opinions and observations on market events. Trade Ideas shared are for educational purposes only. IOY Capital is not responsible for any investment decisions you choose to make.

  • Midweek Market Recap: Trump vs. The Fed, Nvidia’s Surprise, and What’s Next

    It’s midweek, markets have closed for the day, and so far, I can confidently say: Trump really has it in for the Fed.

    Quick Recap

    The week started strong with housing data coming in at 652K, beating expectations of 635K, though slightly below the previous 656K. A positive start as markets eagerly awaited Nvidia’s earnings.

    But the real story? Trump vs. The Fed. After taking aim at Fed Chair Powell with little traction, Trump has now targeted Fed Governor Lisa Cook over alleged mortgage fraud prior to her appointment. This is a big deal, investors rely on the Fed’s independence, and Trump’s decision to remove her pending investigation raises serious concerns.

    We’ve also seen headlines about:

    • Trump plans a White House meeting on Gaza ahead of the UN summit in September.
    • Advocating for oil prices to hover around $60 per barrel.
    • EU considering new sanctions on Russia.
    • Mexico slapping tariffs on Chinese goods under the guise of boosting local production—a classic Trump-style move.

    And then came Nvidia’s earnings:
    Revenue hit $46.7 billion, beating estimates of $46.2 billion. Yet, the stock dropped post-report. Why? Investors expected more. Plus, we learned the U.S. government will take 15% of all Nvidia H20 sales to China—a stark reminder of the cost of doing business in the U.S.

    Market Reaction

    Since the start of the week, markets have been optimistic, as we discussed in our Market Outlook post. Equities have been pushing higher in anticipation of Nvidia’s earnings (can’t wait to see how the market opens tomorrow) and my positions are still in play.

    • ETH is up about 9% after reaching a whooping 19% on Sunday. Take profit kids
    • Closed out PALL (Palladium) at a 1.5% loss after an early-week pullback.
    • Entered a position in XRP after a dip, riding the market optimism and we are currently up about 3%

    What’s Next?

    Key events to watch:
    Thursday:

    • Fed Governor Christopher Waller’s speech
    • Unemployment data
    • GDP data

    Friday:

    • PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) data

    I’ll be monitoring these closely while managing positions.

    Final Thoughts

    We’re sitting at all-time highs, and chatter about a looming recession or market crash is getting louder. Where there’s smoke, there’s usually fire—so stay cautious and trade smart.

    Disclaimer

    This is not financial advice. The content shared here reflects my personal opinions and observations on current market events. Trades shared are for educational purposes only. IOY Capital is not responsible for any investment decisions you choose to make.

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  • Weekly Market Outlook – August 25, 2025

    Last week wrapped up on a strong note, with markets hitting new highs following Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium on Friday. This bullish momentum worked in favour of our positions and set a positive tone heading into the new week.

    What to Watch This Week

    Although the economic calendar looks relatively light, there are a few key events that could influence market direction:

    • Monday: Housing data release
    • Thursday:
      • Speech by Fed Governor Christopher Waller
      • Unemployment data
      • GDP data
    • Friday: PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) data

    The PCE and unemployment figures will be crucial in shaping expectations around a potential rate cut in September. I’m particularly interested in Governor Waller’s speech, as she is reportedly one of Donald Trump’s top picks to replace Jerome Powell as Fed Chair.

    My Personal Outlook

    This week, I’m leaning bullish—but with caution.

    I saw some upside last week with PALL and ETHE, and I’m still holding those positions (though I probably should have closed them on Friday). I’ll be monitoring the market closely and will share any new opportunities in my midweek update. currently looking to get some opportunities in Xrp to follow the trend.

    Market Sentiment & Macro Risks

    One important observation: the market is currently more stretched than during the Dotcom bubble. Several analysts are forecasting a recession within the next 12 months.

    This isn’t a reason to panic or stop trading—it’s a reminder to stay sharp, listen to market signals, and remain adaptable. Keep your ears to the ground and stay informed.

    Stay Tuned

    I’ll be back with more insights in the midweek post, including trade updates and fresh opportunities.

    🔒 Disclaimer

    This is not financial advice. The content shared here reflects my personal opinions and observations on current market events. Trades shared are for educational purposes only. IOY Capital is not responsible for any investment decisions you choose to make.

  • Weekly Market Recap: Powell’s Dovish Stance, PMI Data & Market Reactions

    Weekly Market Recap: Powell’s Dovish Stance, PMI Data & Market Reactions

    Phew! Every week in the financial markets feels like a battle for your mental health. Honestly, it makes sense why the TV series Billions had an in-house therapist (if you haven’t watched it yet, I highly recommend it!).

    This week’s market recap and analysis for traders covers major U.S. economic events, including Powell’s dovish stance at the Jackson Hole Symposium, stronger-than-expected PMI data, and rising unemployment claims—all of which shaped market sentiment and price action.

    So what has happened so for this week ?

    Most of the action this week came from the U.S. Here are the highlights:

    • Flash PMI Data and Its Effect on Financial Markets
      We saw stronger-than-expected PMI numbers: manufacturing at 53.3, services at 55.4%. This indicates expansion in both sectors. However, the impact of Trump’s tariffs is evident, as costs are being passed on to consumers (what a surprise!).
    • Unemployment Claims and Rate Cut Expectations
      Claims came in higher than expected at 235K (previous: 226K). This suggests more people are on benefits, aligning with recent jobs data. Interestingly, this is positive for potential rate cuts.
    • Jackson Hole Symposium Highlights for Investors
      The highlight of the week! Powell essentially confirmed the Fed’s dovish stance, increasing the odds of a rate cut in the September FOMC meeting.

    Read the weekly outlook post where I shared what I was looking out for this week

    Market reaction: How Powell’s Dovish Stance Impacted Markets

    Throughout the week, the market sold to set up for buys todays. equites fell to previously broken highs, Gold and Palladium fell to support, Crypto ETH, BTC and XRP all fell to support.

    Interestingly, both risk assets and safe-haven assets declined together—unusual, but that’s the market for you.

    Today, after Powell’s speech, Dollar and Bond Yields weakened, US Indexes strengthened Traders now put about a 90% probability on a Fed rate cut in September, vs 75% before Powell’s remarks.

    Position recap

    Gold: I did not get an entry on gold this week. but we did see some upside.

    Gold and Palladium Price Analysis

    Palladium: Closed an early position at a 2% loss, re-entered, and currently up about 2%.

    Gold and Palladium Price Analysis

    Ethereum: Took a 2.5% loss early in the week, but scored a 15% win today. Thank you, Powell!

    Ethereum Price Action and Crypto Market Trends

    Looking Ahead

    I’m still keeping my current position over the weekend but I’ll be talking more on what I’m looking out for next week in the weekly outlook post.

    Till then, as usual, it’s Friday, take a break from your screen, connect with family and enjoy the weekend.

    Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The content shared here reflects my personal opinions and observations on current market events. Please consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

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  • Weekly Market Outlook: Key Events, Positioning, and Strategy

    Last Week in Review

    The previous week delivered a mixed performance across markets, but risky assets ended on a positive note, with the S&P 500 closing up 1%. Key highlights included:

    • CPI Data: Slightly underwhelming.
    • PPI Data: Came in better than expected.
    • Trump–Putin Meeting: Offered little in terms of actionable insights.

    For a deeper dive, check out last week’s posts:

    Economic Highlights for This Week

    This week, the U.S. economic calendar is relatively light, but there are still important events to watch:

    • United States: PMI data, FOMC statement, speeches from Federal Reserve members, and the Jackson Hole Symposium.
    • Canada & Europe: Inflation data for Canada, the UK, and the Eurozone.

    Overall, I expect market consolidation with a slight upside bias. The PMI will also provide clues about the inflationary impact of Trump’s recently implemented tariffs. Additionally, I’ll be monitoring:

    • Comments from Trump and Russia following their recent meeting.
    • Statements from Federal Reserve officials.

    How I’m Positioning for the Week

    I’m focusing on three assets: Gold, Palladium, and ETH.

    Gold

    I’ll remain on the sidelines for now. Gold is currently range-bound. While there are opportunities for small gains, I generally avoid trading within ranges unless I see clearer signals during the week.

    Palladium

    Technically, Palladium is in a buying zone. I’m already in a long position (entered a bit early). I expect Palladium to benefit from uncertainty, especially since the Trump–Putin meeting didn’t provide much clarity. Russia, being a major producer of Palladium, adds to the bullish case. That said, I’m monitoring this trade cautiously.

    ETH (Ethereum)

    As a risk asset, I’m only looking for buying opportunities. There seems to be some profit-taking at the moment, but with the Fed rolling back Biden-era policies, I expect a positive impact and potential upside. However, technically, it’s not ready yet.

    Final Thoughts

    At the end of the day, we’re not market makers—we follow the trend. I’ll remain flexible and adjust as new information emerges. Let’s stay calm, avoid rushing, and aim for a profitable week.

    Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The content shared here reflects my personal opinions and observations on current market events. Please consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

  • What a Week! PPI Surprises, Power Moves, and Red Markets !!!

    The second half of the week came in hot, with two major events on our radar: the Producer Price Index (PPI) release and the Trump-Putin meeting.

    PPI: A Surprise Upside

    We got better-than-expected PPI data, which begs the question—are we finally seeing the inflationary effects of Trump’s tariffs? It’s a valid consideration, and one that could weigh heavily on policymakers as they decide whether to cut rates in September. Personally, I wouldn’t want to be in their shoes right now—lol.

    Trump Meets Putin: All Optics, No Substance

    The Trump-Putin meeting wasn’t really giving, to be honest. The most dramatic moment? Trump flexing with a stealth bomber flying over Putin’s head. That was a serious power move. But beyond the theatrics, there wasn’t much substance. We heard there was “progress,” but no concrete outcomes. Must be nice to be rich enough to fly across the globe for a meeting and leave with nothing definitive.

    Weekly Market Wrap

    Risk-on assets ended the week in the red. Equities, crypto, the DXY, and precious metals all closed lower. I wasn’t spared either—woke up to my palladium trade down 1.82%. If anyone’s hiring, I’m available!

    That’s all for this week. Enjoy your weekend, and let’s regroup on Monday for our weekly outlook.

    Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The content shared here reflects my personal opinions and observations on current market events. Please consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions

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  • Midweek Market Recap: CPI, Trump, and What’s Next ?

    For the first half of the week, all eyes were on the almighty CPI. Why, you ask? Well, Trump has been putting pressure on the Fed to cut rates and hasn’t held back in expressing his views on Fed Chair Powell in the media. This comes on the heels of newly announced tariffs on various countries last week, which put the market in a cautious mood. Investors were watching closely to see if inflation would dip, potentially paving the way for a rate cut.

    What did we get?

    CPI year-over-year came in at 2.7%—lower than expected but unchanged from the previous reading. Month-over-month CPI was in line with expectations at 0.2%, but lower than the previous figure. Core CPI YoY surprised to the upside at 3.1%, while MoM was steady and met expectations.

    Stripping away the jargon: inflation data was broadly in line with market expectations. As a result, the market is now cautiously optimistic about a potential rate cut in September.

    Meanwhile, Trump’s having a good week.


    He’s gearing up for potential talks with Putin on Friday, making progress with China on tariff negotiations, and seeing an uptick in U.S. customs revenue—giving him bragging rights. He’s now claiming his tariffs aren’t inflationary and urging Powell to cut rates. Oh, and he also mentioned suing Powell over how he handled the Fed’s renovation—but that’s a story for another day.

    Back to the markets—how are they reacting, and what’s next?

    Optimism is building around a September rate cut. Treasuries are up, the dollar is down, and equities are climbing—classic signs of a risk-on environment. Looking ahead to Friday, retail sales data and the Trump-Putin conversation on Ukraine will be key. Keep an eye on oil.

    My next moves

    Like James Bond, I’m waiting patiently to catch the full risk-on wave. Markets are currently elevated—too rich for my blood. I’m cautiously long on palladium and watching closely for entry points in oil.

    Palladium

    Oil

    Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The content shared here reflects my personal opinions and observations on current market events. Please consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions

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  • August Market Watch – 4 Stocks I’m Tracking

    Welcome to August!
    This month, I’m closely watching four stocks that I believe offer compelling opportunities. These are risk-on plays, all benefiting from what appears to be a faint light at the end of the tunnel in the ongoing tariff wars—though resolution still seems far off.

    Here’s what I’m tracking:

    1. Tesla(TSLA): Tesla’s Q2 2025 earnings beat expectations. There’s growing excitement around its robotaxi innovation, and the market is gradually adjusting to the Trump-era tariffs. These developments make Tesla a stock worth watching this month .https://www.tradingview.com/x/SSmHsst8/
    1. Micron Technologies(MU): Micron has outperformed earnings for two consecutive quarters. While it shares the semiconductor space with giants like NVIDIA, it hasn’t been left behind. Analysts have upgraded it from “Hold” to “Buy,” and I’m considering tagging along for the ride.
    1. Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO): SCCO, a major player in copper, silver, and zinc production, has posted strong earnings recently. It’s also benefiting from rising gold demand, which has shown a direct correlation. Technically, it’s at a favourable entry point.
    1. Ambiq Micro.inc (Ambiq): A fresh IPO from last week, Ambiq is a semiconductor company focused on ultra-low-power solutions. With global interest—especially from China and other regions—this could be a promising growth stock.

    That’s all for now.
    I haven’t entered any positions yet, but I’ll be monitoring these names throughout the month. Expect an update at the end of August. BTW, all stocks as at this time are halal.

    Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The content shared here reflects my personal opinions and observations on current market events. Please consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions